If Mine That Bird is 4/1 or less ...

... you have an edge in the Firecracker (10th at Churchill Downs), unless of course you are dumb enough to bet on Mine That Bird - he' got no shot. At 4 to1 Mine That Bird would take in more than 16% of the betting pool. Since he has no shot, all that money is essentially seeding the pool and effectively eliminating the takeout. The problem is figuring out which of the other 13 horses to bet. There is lots of speed in the race, but I don't have any bright ideas. Maybe I'll take a flier on the 1 Driving Snow off a long layoff.
 
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